Abstract

From the "Procalcitonin And Survival Study" multicenter intensive care unit cohort, followed for 28 days after admission, we included patients without chronic kidney disease, who survived >24 h after admission and with plasma samples at admission available for biomarker analysis. We defined AKI by the "Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes" guidelines and recovery of prior kidney function as alive for five consecutive days after admission with no need for renal replacement therapy and creatinine levels consistently below ×1.5 the level before admission. We adjusted models for age, gender, vasopressor treatment, mechanical ventilation and levels of creatinine, procalcitonin, platelets, and bilirubin at admission. Of a total 213 with AKI at admission, 99 recovered prior kidney function during follow-up. Endothelial damage on admission, measured by Soluble Thrombomodulin (sTM), was the strongest predictor of a reduced chance of recovery of prior kidney function (sTM in the highest vs. three lower quartiles hazard ratio 0.39; 95% confidence interval 0.21-0.73, P = 0.003). In contrast, the degree of the initial inflammatory insult on the kidney, measured by neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (NGAL), failed to predict this outcome (NGAL in highest vs. three lower quartiles hazard ratio = 1.20; 95% CI 0.72-2.00; P = 0.48). Procalcitonin, a specific marker of bacterial infection, was also associated with the rate of recovery (PCT in highest vs. three lower quartiles hazard ratio = 0.59; 95% CI 0.36-0.98; P = 0.04). AKI patients with high levels of sTM had a reduced chance of recovering prior renal function. Our findings support disintegration of the endothelium as a critical point in the pathogenesis of AKI that is refractory to treatment.

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