Emtricitabine triphosphate in dried blood spots predicts future viremia in persons with HIV and identifies mismatch with self-reported adherence.

Abstract

Emtricitabine triphosphate (FTC-TP) in dried blood spots (DBS), a measure of short-term antiretroviral therapy (ART) adherence, is associated with viral suppression in persons with HIV (PWH). However, its ability to predict future viremia remains unknown. Prospective, observational cohort (up to three visits in 48 weeks). PWH receiving TDF/FTC-based ART had DBS and HIV viral load obtained at routine clinical visits. FTC-TP in DBS was dichotomized into quantifiable vs. below the limit of quantification (BLQ). The adjusted odds ratio (aOR) of future viremia (≥20 copies/ml at next study visit) was estimated according to FTC-TP at the current visit. To assess for possible interactions, additional models adjusted for tenofovir diphosphate (TFV-DP) in DBS and 3-day self-reported adherence. Data from 433 PWH (677 paired DBS/HIV viral load samples) were analyzed. The aOR [95% confidence interval (CI)] for future viremia for BLQ vs. quantifiable FTC-TP was 3.4 (1.8--6.5; P = 0.0002). This diminished after adjusting for TFV-DP [aOR 1.9 (0.9--4.1); P = 0.090]. Among PWH reporting 100% 3-day adherence, the odds of future viremia were 6.0 times higher [(1.8--20.3); P = 0.001] when FTC-TP was BLQ vs. quantifiable. Among participants (n = 75) reporting less than 100% adherence, BLQ FTC-TP in DBS was not predictive of future viremia [aOR 1.3 (0.4--4.6); P = 0.96]. Nonquantifiable FTC-TP in DBS predicts future viremia and is particularly informative in PWH reporting perfect adherence. As point-of-care adherence measures become available, mismatches between objective and subjective measures, such as FTC-TP in DBS and self-report, could help clinicians identify individuals at an increased risk of future viremia.