Abstract

Estimation of variance components by Monte Carlo (MC) expectation maximization (EM) restricted maximum likelihood (REML) is computationally efficient for large data sets and complex linear mixed effects models. However, efficiency may be lost due to the need for a large number of iterations of the EM algorithm. To decrease the computing time we explored the use of faster converging Newton-type algorithms within MC REML implementations. The implemented algorithms were: MC Newton-Raphson (NR), where the information matrix was generated via sampling; MC average information(AI), where the information was computed as an average of observed and expected information; and MC Broyden's method, where the zero of the gradient was searched using a quasi-Newton-type algorithm. Performance of these algorithms was evaluated using simulated data. The final estimates were in good agreement with corresponding analytical ones. MC NR REML and MC AI REML enhanced convergence compared to MC EM REML and gave standard errors for the estimates as a by-product. MC NR REML required a larger number of MC samples, while each MC AI REML iteration demanded extra solving of mixed model equations by the number of parameters to be estimated. MC Broyden's method required the largest number of MC samples with our small data and did not give standard errors for the parameters directly. We studied the performance of three different convergence criteria for the MC AI REML algorithm. Our results indicate the importance of defining a suitable convergence criterion and critical value in order to obtain an efficient Newton-type method utilizing a MC algorithm. Overall, use of a MC algorithm with Newton-type methods proved feasible and the results encourage testing of these methods with different kinds of large-scale problem settings.

Highlights

  • Estimation of variance components (VC) by restricted maximum likelihood (REML) [1] via a Monte Carlo (MC) expectation maximization (EM) algorithm has proven a computationally attractive choice for large data sets and complex linear mixed effects models [2,3,4]

  • Analytical EM REML converged in 401 rounds, analytical NR REML and average information (AI) REML in 5 rounds, and analytical BM REML in 11 rounds

  • Almost all VC estimates were in good agreement with the analytical estimates, their means deviating less than 2.5% from the analytical ones

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Summary

Introduction

Estimation of variance components (VC) by restricted maximum likelihood (REML) [1] via a Monte Carlo (MC) expectation maximization (EM) algorithm has proven a computationally attractive choice for large data sets and complex linear mixed effects models [2,3,4]. In such cases, it is often impossible to calculate the exact inverse of the coefficient matrix using direct methods, but it can be estimated by MC sampling methods instead. Both Louis’ method and the acceleration methods require complicated calculations which may be difficult with the large-scale problems often occurring in animal breeding evaluations

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