Abstract

This paper argues that firm and interruptible natural gas prices are comparable to peak and off-peak prices in the electric-utility industry, and the observed patterns of firm-interruptible natural gas contracts are not a random occurrence, but are a function of systematic variation in factors which characterize or delineate the various natural gas distribution systems, and that these factors are economic in nature. One of the most-important economic factors is the presence and effectiveness of government regulation. More specifically, through a proxy test, the hypothesis is analyzed that peak prices are reduced by rate-of-return regulation. Although there probably are net welfare gains from rate-of-return regulation, the decision to add additional storage capacity is quite sensitive to regulation, thus largely offsetting the consumer surplus gained from a lower peak-price under regulation.

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