Abstract

This study empirically investigates real exchange rate between Pak Rupee and US Dollaremploying a two state Markov Switching-AR Model. Bai-Perron test for multiple structural breaks foundthree structural breaks in the series. Estimation results of Markov Switching-AR model reveal that if thereal exchange rate is in state one, its probability of staying in same state in the next period is greaterthan 99 percent whereas switching to second state is 0.7 percent. Whereas, if real exchange rate is instate two, its probability of staying to the same state is 99 percent and its probability of switching to stateone in the next period is less than 0.6 percent.

Talk to us

Join us for a 30 min session where you can share your feedback and ask us any queries you have

Schedule a call

Disclaimer: All third-party content on this website/platform is and will remain the property of their respective owners and is provided on "as is" basis without any warranties, express or implied. Use of third-party content does not indicate any affiliation, sponsorship with or endorsement by them. Any references to third-party content is to identify the corresponding services and shall be considered fair use under The CopyrightLaw.