Abstract

Currently used foam agent HCFC-141b was undergoing phased out worldwide with the implementation of the Montreal Protocol. HFO-1234ze was proposed as replacement in polyurethane (PU) foam industry with shorter atmospheric lifetime. This paper calculated historical and future emissions of HCFC-141b and HFO-1234ze till 2050, used GEOS-Chem under two HFO-1234ze emission scenarios to track its atmospheric process and distribution, and to assess its potential environmental effects. Results showed that annual HCFC-141b emissions for 2015, 2019 and 2050 were 12.6 Gg/yr, 21.0 Gg/yr and 7.6 Gg/yr, respectively and emissions of HFO-1234ze would reach 124.4 Gg/yr by 2050. Under Scenario I with HFO-1234ze emissions of 12.6 Gg/yr as input, annual mixing ratios of HFO-1234ze and its products CF3CHO and HCOF were 10.47, 2.68 and 1.74 pptv for China, and were 0.55, 0.18 and 0.1 pptv globally, respectively, suggesting the regional aggregation of these substances in emission areas. HCOF were removed from atmosphere by depositions, with total deposition rates of 22.06gkm-1 y-1 in CH, and 1.15gkm-1 y-1 in globe. Under Scenario II with HFO-1234ze emissions of 124.4 Gg/yr as input, annual mixing ratios of HFO-1234ze, CF3CHO and HCOF, along with HCOF total deposition rates were 102.98 26.36 and 17.17 pptv and 217gkm-1 y-1 in China, respectively, increased linearly to HFO-1234ze emissions change. The mixing ratios of HFO-1234ze and HCOF were too small to exert significant effects on current atmosphere burden and circulation, while CF3CHO might potentially involve in aminolysis reaction under future emissions of HFO-1234ze.

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