Emerging themes and approaches in plant virus epidemiology.

Abstract

Plant diseases caused by viruses share many common features with those caused by other pathogen taxa in terms of the host-pathogen interaction, but there are also distinctive features in epidemiology, most apparent where transmission is by vectors. Consequently, the host-virus-vector-environment interaction presents a continuing challenge in attempts to understand and predict the course of plant virus epidemics. Theoretical concepts, based on the underlying biology, can be expressed in mathematical models, and tested through quantitative assessments of epidemics in the field; this remains a goal in understanding why plant virus epidemics occur and how they can be controlled. To this end, this review identifies recent emerging themes and approaches to fill in knowledge gaps in plant virus epidemiology. We review quantitative work on impact of climatic fluctuations and change on plants, virus and vectors under different scenarios where impacts on the individual components of the plant-virus-vector interaction may vary disproportionately; the continuing sometimes discordant debate on host resistance and tolerance as plant defense mechanisms, including aspects of farmer behavior and attitudes to disease management that may affect deployment in crops; disentangling host-virus-vector-environment interactions as these contribute to temporal and spatial disease progress in field populations, computational techniques for estimating epidemiological parameters from field observations, and the use of optimal control analysis to assess disease control options. We end by proposing new challenges and questions in plant virus epidemiology.