Abstract
Subject Outlook for global capital flows. Significance Foreign direct investment (FDI) into emerging markets (EMs) rose slightly in 2015, according to the latest UNCTAD report on capital flows, as the growth of FDI in Asia offset losses in other areas. In the light of this, fears of a collapse in global capital flows in 2016, exacerbated by poor global growth, the commodity sell-off and the risks associated with the US monetary policy tightening, may prove excessive. Impacts The sharp divergence in capital flow trends will continue, punishing energy and commodity producers. India may experience robust FDI increases, illustrating that not all EMs are out of favour. Any improvement in the global economic outlook will translate into stronger cross-border flows.
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