Emerging Hardball Confirmation Tactics and Public Support for the U.S. Supreme Court

Abstract

We collected data on individuals’ support for politically motivated “hardball” tactics for U.S. Supreme Court confirmations from three distinct time periods: in the days leading up to the initial confirmation proceedings for Brett Kavanaugh’s elevation to the U.S. Supreme Court, immediately following the second round of hearings held to address the sexual assault allegations brought by Christine Blasey Ford against Kavanaugh, and following the confirmation hearing for Amy Coney Barrett. We investigated whether these high-profile proceedings, following protracted Senate wrangling, affected whether priming respondents to think about past norm violations and partisan gamesmanship affected their support for the use of various confirmation tactics and their assessment of the Supreme Court’s institutional legitimacy. Our results show that the Court is not necessarily in control of public perceptions of the institution. Specifically, drawn-out Senate gamesmanship is impacting the Supreme Court’s institutional standing and individuals tend to dislike norm violations within the confirmation process. However, such concerns can be overwhelmed by ideological or partisan interests in an environment of greater partisan tension and outright conflict. Taken together, our findings suggest that the traditionally static nature of the Court’s base of diffuse support may be on tenuous ground due to its continued politicization at the hands of outside actors.