Abstract

Purpose: The Emergency Room Evaluation and Recommendation (ER2) is an application in the electronic medical file of patients visiting the Emergency Department (ED) of the Jewish General Hospital (JGH; Montreal, Quebec, Canada). It screens for older ED visitors at high risk of undesirable events. The aim of this study is to examine the performance criteria (i.e., sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value [PPV], negative predictive value [NPV], positive likelihood ratio [LR+], negative likelihood ratio [LR-] and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUROC]) of the ER2 high-risk level and its “temporal disorientation” item alone to screen for major neurocognitive disorders in older ED visitors at the JGH.Methods: Based on a cross-sectional design, 999 older adults (age 84.9 ± 5.6, 65.1% female) visiting the ED of the JGH were selected from the ER2 database. ER2 was completed upon the patients' arrival at the ED. The outcomes were ER2's high-risk level, the answer to ER2's temporal disorientation item (present vs. absent), and the diagnosis of major neurocognitive disorders (yes vs. no) which was confirmed when it was present in a letter or other files signed by a physician.Results: The sensitivities of both ER2's high-risk level and temporal disorientation item were high (≥0.91). Specificity, the PPV, LR+, and AROC were higher for the temporal disorientation item compared to ER2's high-risk level, whereas a highest sensitivity, LR-, and NPV were obtained with the ER2 high-risk level. Both area under the receiver operating characteristic curves were high (0.71 for ER2's high-risk level and 0.82 for ER2 temporal disorientation item). The odds ratios (OR) of ER2's high-risk level and of temporal disorientation item for the diagnosis of major neurocognitive disorders were positive and significant with all OR above 18, the highest OR being reported for the temporal disorientation item in the unadjusted model [OR = 26.4 with 95% confidence interval (CI) = 17.7–39.3].Conclusion: Our results suggest that ER2 and especially its temporal disorientation item may be used to screen for major neurocognitive disorders in older ED users.

Highlights

  • Major neurocognitive disorders are common in older emergency department (ED) visitors, with a prevalence up to 30% [1,2,3,4]

  • Specificity, PPV, LR+, and AROC were higher for the temporal disorientation item compared to ER2’s high risk level, whereas the highest sensitivity, LR, and NPV were obtained with the ER2 high risk level (Table 2)

  • The findings show that ER2 may be used to screen older ED users for their risk of major neurocognitive disorders

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Summary

Introduction

Major neurocognitive disorders are common in older emergency department (ED) visitors, with a prevalence up to 30% [1,2,3,4]. These disorders are associated with a high risk of undesirable events. Older Canadian patients with major neurocognitive disorders are 1.5 times more likely to experience undesirable events, such as delirium, falls and, prolonged length of stay, compared to their cognitively healthy counterparts [5]. Screening for major neurocognitive disorders in older ED patients may limit the occurrence of delirium or other undesirable hospital-related events and is recommended early in the hospital care process [4]

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