Abstract

Changes in the Earth's environment are now sufficiently complex that our ability to forecast the emergent ecological consequences of ocean acidification (OA) is limited. Such projections are challenging because the effects of OA may be enhanced, reduced or even reversed by other environmental stressors or interactions among species. Despite an increasing emphasis on multifactor and multispecies studies in global change biology, our ability to forecast outcomes at higher levels of organization remains low. Much of our failure lies in a poor mechanistic understanding of nonlinear responses, a lack of specificity regarding the levels of organization at which interactions can arise, and an incomplete appreciation for linkages across these levels. To move forward, we need to fully embrace interactions. Mechanistic studies on physiological processes and individual performance in response to OA must be complemented by work on population and community dynamics. We must also increase our understanding of how linkages and feedback among multiple environmental stressors and levels of organization can generate nonlinear responses to OA. This will not be a simple undertaking, but advances are of the utmost importance as we attempt to mitigate the effects of ongoing global change.

Highlights

  • Environmental change, which encompasses a wide range of physical and chemical changes, is outpacing our ability to forecast its consequences

  • Context is critical for forecasting the ecological effects of ocean acidification (OA), and studies spanning a wide range of conditions are crucial to accurately interpret experiments

  • The combined effects of multiple stressors on individual species will be mediated by the interactions with other species in an ecosystem [4]

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Summary

Introduction

Environmental change, which encompasses a wide range of physical and chemical changes, is outpacing our ability to forecast its consequences. The combined effects of multiple stressors on individual species will be mediated by the interactions with other species in an ecosystem [4]. Interactions among multiple environmental stressors, where the ecological effect of one is dependent on the magnitude of another, are very common across ecosystems [5,6,7]. These interactions can lead to non-additive outcomes, where the combined effects are more or less than expected (synergistic or antagonistic, respectively) compared with an additive or multiplicative model. We expand that perspective to discuss how the underlying causes of non-additive outcomes of OA and other stressors may be due to interactions at or among several levels of organization (figure 1)

Interactions within the environmental milieu
Interactions within an organism
Threshold dynamics in populations
Interactions within a community
Moving forward
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