Abstract

This paper identifies buildings on pathway to meet carbon targets for embodied emissions aligned with global carbon budgets and mitigation pathways. A simplified bottom-up model is used, assessing multiple variations of a new construction archetype to identify the main strategies to achieve the targets. The model estimates the quantities of the main components with a few input geometry parameters. Life cycle emissions are then computed based on predefined building components. The reference building is representative of a typical new construction with standard operational values and massive construction. Strategies evaluate design optimization measures, construction techniques, and materials variations. Results show that (1) characteristics and volume of the building play a determining role. The existence and size of underground floors can determine the achievement of todays and future targets. (2) Construction choices can half emissions just by switching from concrete to wood and using natural insulation. (3) Future improvements in the supply chain of materials do not follow the required reduction pathway determined by the Swiss climate strategy. Net-zero compatible buildings are already possible, it is just a matter of making the right choices.

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