Abstract

Abstract The double-gyre circulation, formulated in terms of the quasigeostrophic equations, has a symmetry about the basin midlatitude (y → −y, ψ → −ψ), which is absent in a formulation based on the shallow-water equations. As a result, the shallow-water model does not have the pitchfork bifurcation structures that, in the case of the quasigeostrophic model, connect together multiple solution branches with elongated and contracted recirculation gyres. For the shallow-water model, solution branches with elongated recirculation gyres are disconnected, and a one-parameter bifurcation analysis is unable to detect their existence. The deeply penetrating jet solution branches do, however, continue to exist, and can be found using a bifurcation analysis couched in terms of two parameters. An effective pair of parameters is the viscosity and a parameter controlling the symmetry of the wind stress profile. A bifurcation analysis with these parameters reveals the existence of new solution branches that were not found in previous bifurcation analyses of the shallow-water model. The new solutions have a jet extension that penetrates farther eastward and that is more stable than the jet-up and jet-down solutions found in previous studies. Furthermore, the origin of the low-frequency variability at low viscosities is associated with a sequence of bifurcations originating from one of the new steady-state solution branches. In particular, the eigenmode analysis of the new branch reveals that a so-called gyre mode is at the origin of the model’s low-frequency variability at decadal time scales.

Highlights

  • Satellite-based observations of sea surface height in the Gulf Stream and Kuroshio regions of strong air–sea heat flux are revealing large-scale patterns of variability on interannual to decadal time scales

  • We present the results from the steady-state bifurcation analysis in sections 3a–3c, and in section 3d we present results from a suite of time-dependent simulations

  • The solution branches with flows that have a jet extension that penetrates far eastward into the interior of the basin appear as disconnected branches in a one-parameter setting

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Summary

Introduction

Satellite-based observations of sea surface height in the Gulf Stream and Kuroshio regions of strong air–sea heat flux are revealing large-scale patterns of variability on interannual to decadal time scales. Several studies of these regions (Vivier et al 2002; Kelly 2004; Dong and Kelly 2004) have shown the importance of advective heat transport in the interannual to decadal variability of the upper-ocean heat budget. We investigate the stability of the different equilibria and show that the steady-state bifurcation tree is useful for organizing the behavior of timedependent solutions

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