Abstract
Pulmonary metastasectomy (PM) has evolved to become a standard treatment for colorectal cancer lung metastases. However, biomarkers to estimate the prognosis after PM are currently missing. We therefore investigated the prognostic impact of inflammatory-related biomarkers and scores in patients undergoing curative PM for colorectal cancer. We analysed prospectively collected datasets of 52 patients treated in our institution between April 2009 and June 2014. Fibrinogen (cut-off 325 mg/dl), C-reactive protein (CRP, cut-off 0.5 mg/dl), the modified Glasgow prognostic score (mGPS) and the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) at the time of PM were tested for their prognostic power, and correlated to time to recurrence (TTR), time to lung-specific recurrence (TTLR) and overall survival (OS). Median OS after PM of all patients (n = 52, 21 females, 31 males, mean age ± standard deviation: 62.65 ± 11.41 years) was 36 months [95% confidence interval (CI) 24.7-47.3 months, number of events: n = 20/38.5%]. In univariable survival analyses, high fibrinogen [hazard ratio (HR) 5.51, 95% CI 1.21-25.17], elevated CRP (HR 2.81, 95% CI 1.08-7.28), mGPS >0 (HR 2.81, 95% CI 1.08-7.28) and an NLR of 4 or higher (HR 3.05, 95% CI 1.02-9.13) was associated with poor OS. Median TTR was 15 months for all patients (number of events: n = 35/67.3%). Fibrinogen (HR 3.79, 95% CI 1.32-10.94) and NLR (HR 2.99, 95% CI 1.20-7.46) but not CRP (P = 0.102) and mGPS (P = 0.102) were found to indicate TTR. With regard to TTLR (number of events: n = 26/50%), only NLR predicted early lung recurrence (HR 3.02, 95% CI 1.06-8.564). After multivariable analyses, fibrinogen was the only significant OS predictor. However, all investigated inflammatory biomarkers and scores were prognostic for TTR in multivariable analyses. Finally, we divided the study population into an inflammatory phenotype (one or more inflammatory marker/score-elevated) and a non-inflammatory phenotype group. The inflammatory phenotype was prognostic in uni- and multivariable analyses for all three outcome parameters (OS, TTR and TTLR). Inflammatory markers provided promising prognostic information in this cohort of curative PM patients after colorectal cancer. Further validation is needed to verify the prognostic role of these markers and establish them in clinical routine.
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