Abstract

Over the last four years the Netherlands has been involved in a public debate on its energy future, and more narrowly on the role of nuclear power. In this article computer simulation results for two much discussed strateties for the Dutch electric power system are presented and evaluated. A set of four criteria for comparison of these strategies is discussed. It is found that above a critical value further expansion of the nuclear and coal-fired base load capacity is no longer compatible with enhancement of the industrial cogeneration capacity. It is shown that in terms of kWhe-costs both strategies offer rather effective protection against steep oil price increases, though in different ways and with varying implications for Dutch natural gas policy.

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