El robo de autos en Reynosa: análisis espacial desde la teoría de las actividades rutinarias y del patrón del crimen

Abstract

This article analyzes the spatial behavior of social and economic factors associated with car theft in Reynosa, Tamaulipas, Mexico. For this, the data of car theft reports issued (from January 2016 to December 2018) before the Attorney General’s Office of the state of Tamaulipas were analyzed. The information on the social and economic variables was obtained from the Census of Population and Housing 2020 at the level of basic geostatistical area and the National Statistical Directory of Economic Units. The methodology consisted of a negative binomial regression, a simple regression, and a geographically weighted regression, both Poisson types to incorporate the non-stationarity spatial component. The results indicate that restaurants and banks are crime-attracting nodes and that the variables of routine activities present heterogeneous spatial patterns depending on the area of the city where they are present.