Ejecta cloud distributions for the statistical analysis of impact cratering events onto asteroids’ surfaces: A sensitivity analysis

Abstract

This work presents the model of an ejecta cloud distribution to characterise the plume generated by the impact of a projectile onto asteroids surfaces. A continuum distribution based on the combination of probability density functions is developed to describe the size, ejection speed, and ejection angles of the fragments. The ejecta distribution is used to statistically analyse the fate of the ejecta. By combining the ejecta distribution with a space-filling sampling technique, we draw samples from the distribution and assigned them a number of representative fragments so that the evolution in time of a single sample is representative of an ensemble of fragments. Using this methodology, we analyse the fate of the ejecta as a function of different modelling techniques and assumptions. We evaluate the effect of different types of distributions, ejection speed models, coefficients, etc. The results show that some modelling assumptions are more influential than others and, in some cases, they influence different aspects of the ejecta evolution such as the share of impacting and escaping fragments or the distribution of impacting fragments on the asteroid surface.