Abstract

Raanes et al. [1] revised the iterative ensemble smoother of Chen and Oliver [2, 3], denoted Ensemble Randomized Maximum Likelihood (EnRML), using the property that the EnRML solution is contained in the ensemble subspace. They analyzed EnRML and demonstrated how to implement the method without the use of expensive and potentially unstable pseudo inversions of the low-rank state covariance matrix or the ensemble-anomaly matrix. The new algorithm produces the same result, realization by realization, as the original EnRML method. However, the new formulation is simpler to implement, numerically stable, and computationally more efficient. The purpose of this document is to present a simple derivation of the new algorithm and demonstrate its practical implementation and use for reservoir history matching. An additional focus is to customize the algorithm to be suitable for big-data assimilation of measurements with correlated errors. We demonstrate that the computational cost of the resulting “ensemble sub-space” algorithm is linear in the number of measurements, also when the measurements have correlated errors, as well as the state-space dimension. The final algorithm is implemented in the Ensemble Reservoir Tool (ERT) for running and conditioning ensembles of reservoir models. Several verification experiments are presented.

Highlights

  • Specialty section: This article was submitted to Dynamical Systems, a section of the journal Frontiers in Applied Mathematics and Statistics

  • Raanes et al [1] revised the iterative ensemble smoother of Chen and Oliver [2, 3], denoted Ensemble Randomized Maximum Likelihood (EnRML), using the property that the EnRML solution is contained in the ensemble subspace

  • Xfj ← N and dj ← N (d, Cdd) are realizations of the parameters and measurements sampled from their prior distributions. This approach relates to the Randomized Maximum Likelihood (RML) method discussed by Oliver et al [9]; Kitanidis [10]

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Summary

HISTORY-MATCHING PROBLEM

Evensen [4] discussed the formulation of the history-matching problem for the strong-constraint case where all model errors are associated with the uncertain model parameters. Evensen [5] extended the strong-constraint formulation to the weak-constraint case to consistently account for additional unknown model errors These two papers discussed properties of iterative ensemble smoothers like EnRML by Chen and Oliver [2, 3] and ESMDA by Emerick and Reynolds [6]. Most methods for history matching assume a perfect model and Gaussian priors, and they either attempt to sample the posterior pdf in Equation (8) or to minimize the cost function in Equation (9). Xfj ← N (xf, Cxx) and dj ← N (d, Cdd) are realizations of the parameters and measurements sampled from their prior distributions This approach relates to the Randomized Maximum Likelihood (RML) method discussed by Oliver et al [9]; Kitanidis [10]. We will derive a version of the ensemble-subspace formulation of the EnRML as introduced by Raanes et al [1], discuss its practical implementation, and show examples where it is used for reservoir model conditioning

Definition of Ensemble Matrices
Cost Function in the Ensemble
Iterative Solution in the Ensemble
The Expression GijA
Final Update
Direct Inversion
Exact Inversion
Ensemble Subspace Inversion Using Full Cdd
Ensemble Subspace Inversion Using
FINAL ALGORITHM
Localization
Step Size
Computational Cost
VERIFICATION EXPERIMENTS
Scalar Case With Large Ensemble Size
Verification on ERT Poly Case
Verification on a Reservoir Case
SUMMARY
Findings
DATA AVAILABILITY STATEMENT
Full Text
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