Efficient High-Dimensional Importance Sampling in Mixture Frameworks

Abstract

This paper provides high-dimensional and flexible importance sampling procedures for the likelihood evaluation of dynamic latent variable models involving finite or infi nite mixtures leading to possibly heavy tailed and/or multi-modal target densities. Our approach is based upon the efficient importance sampling (EIS) approach of Richard and Zhang (2007) and exploits the mixture structure of the model when constructing importance sampling distributions as mixture of distributions. The proposed mixture EIS procedures are illustrated with ML estimation of a student-t state space model for realized volatilities and a stochastic volatility model with leverage effects and jumps for asset returns.