Abstract

To compare the efficacy of nivolumab with that of molecular-targeted therapy as a second-line therapy for metastatic renal cell carcinoma using real-world data. We retrospectively evaluated patients who received nivolumab or molecular-targeted therapy after the failure of first-line molecular-targeted therapy between January 2008 and December 2019 at two Japanese institutions. Progression-free survival and overall survival after the initiation of second-line therapy were calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method and compared using the log-rank test. Objective response rate was assessed based on the Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors version 1.1. Among 159 patients, 43 (27%) and 116 (73%) patients received nivolumab and molecular-targeted therapy as second-line therapy, respectively. During follow up (median 11.1months), 129 (81%) and 98 (62%) patients had disease progression and died, respectively. Progression-free survival was comparable between the two treatments (median 5.06 vs 5.95months, P=0.881), whereas overall survival was significantly longer with nivolumab than with molecular-targeted therapy (not reached vs 13.0months, P=0.0008). Multivariate analysis further showed that nivolumab therapy was an independent favorable factor for overall survival (hazard ratio 0.33, P=0.0007). In 151 patients with eligible radiographic data, the objective response rate was significantly higher in nivolumab than in molecular-targeted therapy (n=14/41 [34%] vs n=20/110 [18%], P=0.0485). Real-world data analysis suggests superior efficacy of nivolumab over molecular-targeted therapy as second-line therapy for metastatic renal cell carcinoma.

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