Abstract

Sleep deprivation is a prevalent and rising health concern, one with known effects on blood glucose (BG) levels, mood, and calorie consumption. However, the mechanisms by which sleep deprivation affects calorie consumption (e.g., measured via self-reported types of craved food) are unclear, and may be highly idiographic (i.e., individual-specific). Single-case or “n-of-1” randomized trials (N1RT) are useful in exploring such effects by exposing each subject to both sleep deprivation and baseline conditions, thereby characterizing effects specific to that individual. We had two objectives: (1) To test and generate individual-specific N1RT hypotheses of the effects of sleep deprivation on next-day BG level, mood, and food cravings in two non-diabetic individuals; (2) To refine and guide a future n-of-1 study design for testing and generating such idiographic hypotheses for personalized management of sleep behavior in particular, and for chronic health conditions more broadly. We initially did not find evidence for idiographic effects of sleep deprivation, but better-refined post hoc findings indicate that sleep deprivation may have increased BG fluctuations, cravings, and negative emotions. We also introduce an application of mixed-effects models and pancit plots to assess idiographic effects over time.

Highlights

  • We modeled the probability of observation as a function of treatment, period, and their interaction through logistic regression

  • We found that sleep deprivation was no longer estimated to have had a mean effect on log-blood glucose (BG) (p = 0.66)

  • We found that sleep deprivation statistically increased negative Positive and Negative Affect Scale (PANAS) values by an estimate of 25.8 points (CI: 23.79 to 27.833; p = 0.0016) on average

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Summary

Introduction

The recent explosion of self-tracking wearable devices used for data collection and self-knowledge represents a “new culture of personal data” [1]. People can track more behaviors (e.g., sleep, activity, mood) with less labor (e.g., written food diaries), and can use these personalized data to hack their way into self-optimization for personalized health. Consumers can monitor a single behavior and use their self-tracking data to modify it in desired directions, like walking more steps or eating a target number of calories. Combining n-of-1 randomized trial (N1RT) study design with integration across time-stamped data, we can establish a more rigorous template for collecting and using self-quantification to inform individualized health plans [2,3]. Using a biometric tracker like continuous glucose monitoring adds a disease-prevention component to the personalized plan

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