Abstract

Engineering problems are mainly defined in implicit processes; hence, the fully probabilistic analyses, e.g., Monte Carlo simulations (MCS), are expensive to implement. In practice, two approaches to overcome the issues are either reducing the size of simulations or developing surrogate models for actual problems. The latter does not sacrifice the size of MCS and requires less insight into probabilistic calculation; hence, it is preferable to most engineers. This study proposes an efficient framework to develop reliable and accurate surrogate models by considering data at the limit state margins (LS data). Effects of involving LS data in the training process and performances of the proposed metamodels are investigated for most issues relating to reliability analyses, including nonlinear performance functions, multiple failure modes, and implicitly defined problems. Two machine learning algorithms, including artificial neural networks and the Gaussian process, are employed to prove the ability of the proposed method. Investigations reveal that the limit state data plays a vital role in developing accurate surrogate models for reliability analyses, and accumulating them into the training dataset helps quickly construct accurate metamodels. This work contributes a practical framework for reliability analyses because the LS data can be detected easily without insight into probabilistic calculations.

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