Abstract

The endemic Yellow-eyed Penguin Megadyptes antipodes is threatened by habitat loss and introduced predators on mainland New Zealand. Nine colonies in the Catlins (south-east coast of South Island) were studied to measure breeding success, penguin abundance, and predator abundance in three successive breeding seasons (1991/92 to 1993/94). Nest numbers increased in all nine colonies in the three years despite predation (probably by Stoats Mustefa erminea) being the most important cause of breeding failure. Larger colonies with higher breeding success were in small gullies with limited shrubs and bushes rather than in the most intact mature forest colonies hitherto assumed to be optimal habitat for the birds. Penguin nests were concentrated near the forest edge, but predators were not, so the predation risk was not elevated near the forest edge. Fragmentation of the original forest habitat had no observable adverse effect on breeding success. Stoats dominated the predator guild, while Ferrets M. furo and Feral Cats Felis catus were rare. Trapping to kill predators early in the season had no marked effect on subsequent predation losses, but trapping intervention when a predation outbreak occurred curtailed further chick deaths. A simple population model predicts that Yellow-eyed Penguins populations will grow provided the average total chicks loss is less than 43% per season, or at least 0.85 chick per nest fledges each year. This requires predation losses to be less than 34%.

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