Abstract

Climate adaptation, mitigation, and protecting strategies are becoming even more important as climate change is intensifying. The impacts of climate change are especially tangible in dense urban areas due to the inherent characteristics of urban structure and materiality. To assess impacts of densification on urban climate and potential adaptation strategies a densely populated Viennese district was modeled as a typical sample area for the city of Vienna. The case study analyzed the large-scale densification potential and its potential effects on microclimate, air flow, comfort, and energy demand by developing 3D models of the area showing the base case and densification scenarios. Three methods were deployed to assess the impact of urban densification: Micro-climate analysis (1) explored urban heat island phenomena, wind pattern analysis (2) investigated ventilation and wind comfort at street level, and energy and indoor climate comfort analysis (3) compared construction types and greening scenarios and analyzed their impact on the energy demand and indoor temperatures. Densification has negative impacts on urban microclimates because of reducing wind speeds and thus weakening ventilation of street canyons, as well as accelerating heat island effects and associated impact on the buildings. However, densification also has daytime cooling effects because of larger shaded areas. On buildings, densification may have negative effects especially in the new upper, sun-exposed floors. Construction material has less impact than glazing area and rooftop greening. Regarding adaptation to climate change, the impacts of street greening, green facades, and green roofs were simulated: The 24-h average mean radiant temperature (MRT) at street level can be reduced by up to 15 K during daytime. At night there is only a slight reduction by a few tenths of 1 K MRT. Green facades have a similar effect on MRT reduction, while green roofs show only a slight reduction by a few tenths of 1 K MRT on street level. The results show that if appropriate measures were applied, negative effects of densification could be reduced, and positive effects could be achieved.

Highlights

  • Adaptation to climate change has always been highlighted as important alongside the mitigation of climate change [1], more emphasis has been laid in the past on climate protection

  • Micro-climate analysis (1) assessed the effect related to urban heat island phenomena

  • Adaptation alternatives were discussed with public stakeholders, and the results were fed into urban analysis (3) compared different construction types and greening scenarios and analyzed their impact on the energy demand and internal temperatures of buildings

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Summary

Introduction

Adaptation to climate change has always been highlighted as important alongside the mitigation of climate change [1], more emphasis has been laid in the past on climate protection. Urban land cover is estimated to substantially increase by around 1,527,000 km until 2030 [3] and the urban population is growing worldwide at a steady rate with a rise from 55% in 2018 to a projected 68% of people living in cities across the globe in 2050 [4]. In densely populated and built-up urban areas, the impact of climate change is accelerated as natural surfaces are largely replaced by sealed cover and building sites. This has the destructive effect that less green area is available and that the built infrastructure multiplies the amount of thermal mass and heat storing materials in the third dimension. If carried out to high efficiency standards, can increase the building quality and property value, and can improve the living comfort of the inhabitants and reduce the overall energy demand for heating and cooling [16]

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