Abstract
Hainan Island is endowed with unique climatic and geographical conditions in China. Green orange is a characteristic fruit and plays an important role in local agricultural production of the island. However, few studies have been available regarding the climatic suitability index of green orange planting suitable regions in the island. Based on 30 years (1980 to 2019) of climatic data from 19 meteorological stations in the island, this study established spatial analysis models with topographical data, land use and GIS spatial analysis. Based on climate suitability function, this study established the climate suitability models of temperature, sunshine, precipitation, accumulated temperature and comprehensive suitability model for green orange planting. The Climate suitability index model for green orange planting suitable zoning areas was developed using a natural point segmentation method, and future climate change scenarios were adopted for evaluating the trends of climate suitable areas. The results revealed that the most suitable areas for planting green orange are mainly located at the eastern central region in the island. The climate suitability index ranged from 0.9 to 1.0 in the most suitable regions. The suitable area is mainly distributed in the eastern part, most of the central and western parts of the island, with the climate suitability index ranging from 0.7–0.9. However, the population density in the area is large, and the planting land is limited. The sub-suitable area is mainly located in the coastal areas of the western island, and the high-altitude areas in the central and western regions of the island, with the climate suitability index varying from 0.4 to 0.7. The unsuitable area is mainly distributed in the central mountainous area, with the climate suitability index being 0.0–0.4. The suitability of temperature showed decreasing trend, and the suitability of precipitation gradually moved from the east to the central region under future climate change scenarios. This study is helpful in promoting the development and utilization of agricultural resources and the fine zoning of green orange planting climate suitability in the island.
Highlights
The most suitable region for planting green orange is mainly located in the central part of Hainan Island, with climate suitability index ranging from 0.9 to 0.1
The sub-suitable region is mainly distributed in the coastal areas of western part and the high-altitude areas of central part of the Island, with the climate suitability index being between 0.4 and 0.7
The unsuitability region is mainly located in the high-altitude area of central part, with the climate suitability index being between 0 and 0.4
Summary
Green orange is one of the well-known typical fruits in Hainan Island, formerly known as Hongjiang Orange. After introduced into Hainan in the 1980s from Lianjiang in Guangdong province, green orange showed stronger adaptability than the original place, with early fruiting, better quality and yield [1]. Green orange has been certified as a pollution-free agricultural product and green food by the Ministry of Agriculture, and 4.0/). Is a high-quality brand-name product in Hainan [2]. The planting area of green orange accounts for 36.4% of the total planting areas of citrus, orange and grapefruit in the Island. Climate warming is one of the main features of climate change. Climate is an important factor affecting crop growth, yield and quality
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