Effects of climate change and grazing intensity on grassland productivity—A case study of Inner Mongolia, China

Abstract

In the last 30 years, grassland productivity has declined seriously due to climate variations and unreasonable human activities. Therefore, to analyze the impact of different factors on grassland productivity, we selected three grassland stations of the Typical Steppe from west to east and collected 38 years of data. The Pearson Correlation and Fixed Effect Model were used to analyze the impact of precipitation, temperature, and grazing intensity on grassland productivity. The empirical results show that precipitation positively and significantly affected grassland productivity. The effects of climate change are more significant than human activities, but the impact of temperature is greater than precipitation. The synergy between precipitation and temperature was greater than between precipitation and temperature separately. In addition, the effects of climate change and human activities on grassland productivity have evident regional heterogeneity. The variation trend gradually increases from west to east in factors that affect grassland productivity. Therefore, we suggest some implications for grassland risk management, such as utilizing some financial products for climate risk and focusing on the synergy index to design financial products, such as design weather derivatives. Lastly, we should strengthen the research on the relationship between climate change and grassland productivity to provide a scientific basis for revealing the intrinsic relationship between climate, human activities, and grassland productivity.