Effect of short-term ambient air pollution exposure on early miscarriage and pregnancy hormones with critical window identification

Abstract

BackgroundPregnancy hormones are particularly important in early miscarriage, and some evidence suggests that exposure to air pollution is associated with pregnancy hormones and miscarriage. However, the effects of air pollution on pregnancy hormone-mediated miscarriages have not yet been investigated. MethodsWe collected air pollution exposure measurements and pregnancy hormone tests from the participants. Logistic regression models were used to investigate the association between air pollution and early miscarriages. A distributed lag nonlinear model (DLNM) was used to investigate non-linear and delayed associations and identify the crucial window. We performed mediation analysis to estimate the potential association that may exist between pregnancy hormone levels and early miscarriage. ResultsShort-term exposure to CO and SO2 was associated with early miscarriage. Lag 22–28 days of exposure to both CO and SO2 and lag 15–21 days of exposure to CO were significantly positively associated with early miscarriage, with an obvious exposure dose response. Serum progesterone concentration explained 36.79 % of the association between lag 15–28 days of CO exposure and early miscarriage. ConclusionThis study provides evidence for the association between short-term exposure to air pollution and early miscarriage, and provides clues for further exploration of biological mechanisms.