Abstract

Using ArcGIS to analyze satellite derived PM2.5 estimates, this paper obtains the average concentration and maximum concentration of fine particulate matter (PM2.5) in China's 31 provinces from 2002 to 2015. We adopt fixed effects model and spatial Durbin model to investigate the association between PM2.5 and perinatal mortality rates. The results indicate that PM2.5 has a significantly positive association with perinatal mortality rates. A 1% increase of log-transformed average concentration and maximum concentrations of PM2.5 is associated with 1.76‰ and 2.31‰ increase of perinatal mortality rates, respectively. In spatial econometrics analysis, we find PM2.5 has significant spatial autocorrelation characteristics. The concentrations of log-transformed average and maximum PM2.5 increase 1% is associated with a 2.49% increase in a 2.49‰ and 2.19‰ increase of perinatal mortality rates, respectively. The potential mechanism is that air pollution has an impact on infant weight to impact perinatal mortality rates.

Highlights

  • Using ArcGIS to analyze satellite derived ­PM2.5 estimates, this paper obtains the average concentration and maximum concentration of fine particulate matter ­(PM2.5) in China’s 31 provinces from 2002 to 2015

  • Column (4) is our referred model, which shows that for every 1% increase in pollution, we find an associated 1.76% increase in perinatal mortality rates

  • The spatial lag coefficients of perinatal mortality rates were significant and negative in four models, indicating that it is competitive in improving health among neighboring provinces; that is, the decrease of mortality rates in the surrounding provinces would promote the decrease of mortality rate in the region

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Summary

Introduction

Using ArcGIS to analyze satellite derived ­PM2.5 estimates, this paper obtains the average concentration and maximum concentration of fine particulate matter ­(PM2.5) in China’s 31 provinces from 2002 to 2015. A 1% increase of log-transformed average concentration and maximum concentrations of ­PM2.5 is associated with 1.76‰ and 2.31‰ increase of perinatal mortality rates, respectively. The concentrations of log-transformed average and maximum ­PM2.5 increase 1% is associated with a 2.49% increase in a 2.49‰ and 2.19‰ increase of perinatal mortality rates, respectively. Pope et al.[11] find that each 10 μg/m3 elevation in fine particulate air pollution is associated with approximately a 4%, 6%, and 8% increased risk of all-cause, cardiopulmonary and lung cancer mortality, respectively. Its main conclusion is that the concentration response curve between air pollution and mortality is not linear, but nonlinear In view of this nonlinear relationship, some scholars estimate the logarithm of air pollution and get the relationship between the growth rate of pollution and m­ ortality[19,20,21].

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