Effect of Oceanic Stochastic Forcing on Wintertime Atmospheric Decadal Variability Over Midlatitude North Pacific

Abstract

AbstractPrevious studies showed that random atmospheric forcing can stimulate oceanic low frequency variability in midlatitudes, since ocean has huge heat capacity that can redden the atmospheric high frequency variability. However, whether the oceanic stochastic forcing can in turn influence atmospheric variability is still unclear. To answer this question, two parallel 63‐year numerical experiments are conducted with an atmospheric general circulation model. In the control experiment, the atmosphere is forced by observed global sea surface temperature (SST). After adding stochastic forcings that are constrained by observed standard deviations of mesoscale SST anomalies (SSTAs) over the North Pacific in a sensitivity experiment, large‐scale atmospheric variability is greatly increased over the midlatitude northwest Pacific, especially on decadal timescale. Moreover, the anomalous atmospheric circulations associated with the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO), like the enhanced westerly wind in the Kuroshio‐Oyashio and its extension (KOE) region, are more consistent with that resolved by a reanalysis model after the stochastic SSTAs are added. Dynamic diagnostics show that under the background of PDO warm phase, stochastic SSTAs can generate larger diabatic heating over the north of KOE region by inducing more moisture condensation in the mid‐lower troposphere, which is balanced by anomalous cold low‐level air temperature advection. Thus, the atmospheric baroclinicity is increased by the cold temperature advection anomaly, and the transient eddy activity and westerly jet are both enhanced above the KOE region accordingly. Our results suggest that to accurately represent the oceanic effect on large‐scale atmospheric variability and anomalies, oceanic stochastic SSTAs should also be considered.