Abstract

The paper presents a numerical wellbore stability model using the finite element method (FEM). The core driver of the model uses Biot's theory of poroelasticity. The model uses a time-dependent analysis that accounts for the poroelastic effects of pore pressure and deviatoric stress, which are not accounted for in the common static linear elasticity analyses. The use of pseudo-3D FEM based on the theory of generalized plane strain, allows the freedom to analyze complex geometries such as inclined boreholes in anisotropic formation under three dimensional stress field. Shear failure prediction is demonstrated using isotropic and anisotropic failure criteria. Available analytical solutions in literature for anisotropic poroelasticity assume transversely isotropic material with the plane of isotropy always perpendicular to the borehole axis. The presented numerical model removes the above assumption and accounts for the mechanical anisotropy and formation dipping effects that are difficult to deal with using an analytical-based analysis. Finally, juxtaposition between isotropic and anisotropic analyses shows significantly dissimilar failure prediction and mud weight recommendations.

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