Effect of corticosteroids in patients with COVID-19: a Bayesian network meta-analysis

Abstract

ObjectivesWe sought to perform a network meta-analysis to compare the safety and efficacy of the systemic administration of corticosteroids for the treatment of COVID-19. MethodsA Bayesian network meta-analysis was performed to combine the direct and indirect evidence. The surface under the cumulative ranking curve was obtained to estimate the ranking probability of the treatment agents for each outcome. The efficacy outcome was 28-day all-cause mortality. The safety outcome was serious adverse events. ResultsA total of 16 trials with 2992 patients comparing four treatments (dexamethasone, hydrocortisone, methylprednisolone, and placebo) were identified. Direct analysis showed that corticosteroids were associated with a reduced risk of 28-day mortality compared with usual care (risk ratio [RR] 0.83; 95% confidence interval [CrI] 0.70-0.99). Network analysis showed that the pooled RR was 0.63 (95% CrI 0.39-0.93) for all-cause mortality at 28 days comparing methylprednisolone with usual care or placebo (surface under the cumulative ranking curve: 91%). Our analysis demonstrated that patients who received a low dose of corticosteroids (RR 0.80; 95% CrI 0.70-0.91) and a long course of treatment (RR 0.81; 95% CrI 0.71-0.91) had higher survival rates than patients in the placebo group. ConclusionAdministration of corticosteroids was associated with a reduced all-cause mortality at 28 days compared with placebo or usual care. Our analysis also confirmed the mortality benefit associated with low-dose and long-term treatment with corticosteroids.