Abstract

The objective of this study was to assess the effect of shoreline retreat and dune erosion on coastal flooding in a case study located in the southern coast of Rhode Island, USA. Using an extensive dataset collected during 2011, an ADCIRC model was developed to simulate the propagation of storm surge in the coastal areas, including coastal inlets and ponds. A simplified methodology, based on the geological assessment of historical trends of the shoreline retreat and dune erosion in this area, was incorporated in the model to represent coastal erosion. The results showed that for extreme storms (e.g., a 100-year event), where coastal dunes are overtopped and low-lying areas are flooded, the flooding extent is not significantly sensitive to coastal erosion. However, failure of the dunes leads to a significant increase of the flooding extent for smaller storms. Substantial dampening of the storm surge elevation in coastal ponds for moderate and small storms was associated with coastal inlets connecting to coastal ponds which are often not resolved in regional surge models. The shoreline change did not significantly affect the extent of flooding. It was also shown that the accuracy of a storm surge model highly depends on its ability to resolve coastal inlets, which is critical for reliable storm surge predictions in areas with inlet-basin systems.

Highlights

  • The northeast of the US, including the coastal regions of Rhode Island, have been impacted by hurricanes in the past, most recently Hurricane Sandy in 2012

  • The objective of this study is to investigate the effects of dune erosion and shoreline retreat on storm surge

  • It should be noted that North Atlantic Coast Comprehensive Study (NACCS) results, unlike the ADCIRC model developed in this study, have not been validated inside coastal ponds and very near shore in RI

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Summary

Introduction

The northeast of the US, including the coastal regions of Rhode Island, have been impacted by hurricanes in the past, most recently Hurricane Sandy in 2012. It is estimated that sea level will rise between 0.2 and 2 m by 2100 in the northeast of the US, which magnifies the impacts of coastal flooding [2]. As coastal flooding is sensitive to changes in bathymetry and topography of a region, coastal erosion can potentially affect the storm surge propagation. Storm surge and coastal erosion interact in two ways: (1) storm surges (and wave forces) lead to coastal erosion; (2) coastal erosion affects the propagation of storm surge and alters the extent of flooding. While it is possible to examine the two-way interaction processes using morphodynamic models (e.g., [3,4]), which incorporate sediment transport and bed level changes, validating morphodynamic models is very challenging, and developing those models is costly. Assuming worst case scenarios (complete dune erosion, shoreline retreat at specified rate, etc.) is an alternative method which allows understanding the effect of coastal erosion on flooding for extreme scenarios (e.g., [5])

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