Effect of atherosclerosis on the relationship between atrial fibrillation and ischemic stroke incidence among patients on hemodialysis

Abstract

In patients undergoing hemodialysis, the impact of atrial fibrillation (AF) through cardiac thromboembolism on the development of ischemic stroke may be influenced by the severity of atherosclerosis present. However, there are no large-scale reports confirming whether the severity of atherosclerosis influences the relationship between AF and stroke development in patients requiring hemodialysis. We aimed to investigate the effects of atherosclerotic disease on the relationship between AF and new-onset ischemic stroke. This nationwide longitudinal study based on dialysis facilities across Japan used data collected from the Japanese Renal Data Registry at the end of 2019 and 2020. The exposure was AF at the end of 2019, identified using a resting 12-lead electrocardiography. The primary outcome was the incidence of cerebral infarction (CI) after 1 year. To examine whether the number of atherosclerotic diseases modified the association between AF and the outcome, we estimated the odds ratios (ORs) using a logistic regression model and then assessed the presence of global interaction using Wald test. Following the study criteria, data from 151,350 patients (mean age, 69 years; men, 65.2%; diabetic patients, 48.7%) were included in the final analysis. A total of 9841 patients had AF (prevalence, 6.5%). Between 2019 and 2020, 4967 patients (3.2%) developed ischemic stroke. The adjusted OR of AF for new-onset CI was 1.5, which showed a decreasing trend with an increasing number of atherosclerotic diseases; the interaction was not significant (P = 0.34). While age, diabetes mellitus, smoking, systolic blood pressure, and serum C-reactive protein concentration were positively associated with CI, intradialytic weight gain, body mass index, and serum albumin level were negatively associated. While we demonstrated the association between AF and new-onset CI among Japanese patients on hemodialysis, we failed to demonstrate the evidence that the association was attenuated with an increasing numbers of atherosclerotic complications.