Abstract

This paper suggests that ageing has divergent effects on housing prices, and the divergence sources from both aspects of ageing and housing. For the ageing, a fall in fertility and a rise in survival rate could have opposite effects on housing prices. For the housing, the prices of the two components - land and structure - respond to fertility rate decline and survival rate increase to different extent. Therefore, the effect of ageing on housing prices does not have a definite pattern in the long run. In the short run, the results suggest that aging can produce a turning point in the price dynamics. To the left of the peak, ageing boosts prices while to the right, it has the opposite effect, therefore the impacts of ageing on housing prices are different with time.

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