Abstract

Based on SP survey, this study researched on the driver's personal property, travel attribute and VMS (Variable Message Signs) attribute. On this basis, combining with the traffic survey data, the multinomial Logit models were used to reflect the route choice behavior. The data were analyzed by Matlab software, then to compare the effect of VMS under different traffic conditions, and proved the rationality of the model. The results of SP survey show that the main factors that affect drivers' route choice are familiarity of road network, accuracy of VMS and attention to VMS. The calculations of Multinomial Logit model demonstrate that the effect of VMS is more obvious during peak period, and it’s more effective under traffic accident conditions. Combining qualitative and quantitative analysis, it provides suggestions for the widely application of the VMS in Changsha city.

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