Abstract

Recently, a number of analytical approaches for probing medical databases have been developed to assist in disease risk assessment and to determine the association of a clinical condition with others, so that better and intelligent healthcare can be provided. The early assessment of disease risk is an emerging topic in medical informatics. If diseases are detected at an early stage, prognosis can be improved and medical resources can be used more efficiently. For example, if rheumatoid arthritis (RA) is detected at an early stage, appropriate medications can be used to prevent bone deterioration. In early disease risk assessment, finding important risk factors from large-scale medical databases and performing individual disease risk assessment have been challenging tasks. A number of recent studies have considered risk factor analysis approaches, such as association rule mining, sequential rule mining, regression, and expert advice. In this study, to improve disease risk assessment, machine learning and matrix factorization techniques were integrated to discover important and implicit risk factors. A novel framework is proposed that can effectively assess early disease risks, and RA is used as a case study. This framework comprises three main stages: data preprocessing, risk factor optimization, and early disease risk assessment. This is the first study integrating matrix factorization and machine learning for disease risk assessment that is applied to a nation-wide and longitudinal medical diagnostic database. In the experimental evaluations, a cohort established from a large-scale medical database was used that included 1007 RA-diagnosed patients and 921,192 control patients examined over a nine-year follow-up period (2000–2008). The evaluation results demonstrate that the proposed approach is more efficient and stable for disease risk assessment than state-of-the-art methods.

Highlights

  • Rheumatoid arthritis (RA), a systemic autoimmune rheumatism disease (SARD), is rare and causes chronic bone damage and deterioration

  • The results demonstrate that eDRAM is more effective than the other methods in terms of disease risk assessment metrics

  • A novel method called eDRAM was proposed for early disease risk assessment with high efficacy, efficiency, and stability. eDRAM discovered novel risk factors from a large-scale nationwide outpatient diagnostic database using matrix factorization

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Summary

Introduction

Rheumatoid arthritis (RA), a systemic autoimmune rheumatism disease (SARD), is rare and causes chronic bone damage and deterioration. RA does not directly cause death, it can clearly reduce the patient’s ability to work or live independently, as it affects a wide range of activities, such as walking, eating, personal hygiene, and even mental health [1, 3, 4]. This significantly increases long-term domestic expenditure and affects national productivity and medical resource allocation [5, 6]. Disease prediction for RA is an important issue in medical informatics

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