Abstract
Abstract. Climate change is resulting in more frequent rainstorms and more rain-induced debris flows in mountainous areas. The prediction of likely hazard zones is important for debris flow risk assessment and management. Existing numerical methods for debris flow analysis often require the input of hydrographs at prescribed initiation locations, ignoring the initiation process and leading to large uncertainties in debris flow initiation locations, times, and volumes when applied to regional debris flow analysis. The evolution of the flowing mixture in time and space is also barely addressed. This paper presents a new integrated numerical model, EDDA 2.0, to simulate the whole process of debris flow initiation, motion, entrainment, deposition, and property changes. Two physical initiation mechanisms are modelled: transformation from slope failures and surface erosion. Three numerical tests and field application to a catastrophic debris flow event are conducted to verify the model components and evaluate the model performance. The results indicate that the integrated model is capable of simulating the initiation and subsequent flowing process of rain-induced debris flows, as well as the physical evolution of the flowing mixture. The integrated model provides a powerful tool for analysing multi-hazard processes, hazard interactions, and regional debris flow risk assessment in the future.
Highlights
Debris flows are one of the most catastrophic hazards in mountainous areas (e.g. Zhang et al, 2013; Raia et al, 2014), and can pose high risks to society (e.g. Tang et al, 2011; Gao et al, 2016)
A new integrated simulation model is developed for simulating rain-induced debris flow initiation, motion, entrainment, deposition, and property changes
The model is unique in that it simulates the whole process of rain-induced debris flow evolution and two physical initiation mechanisms
Summary
Debris flows are one of the most catastrophic hazards in mountainous areas (e.g. Zhang et al, 2013; Raia et al, 2014), and can pose high risks to society (e.g. Tang et al, 2011; Gao et al, 2016). Zhang et al, 2013; Raia et al, 2014), and can pose high risks to society (e.g. Tang et al, 2011; Gao et al, 2016). Debris flows are one of the most catastrophic hazards in mountainous areas They are often triggered by heavy rainfall and sensitive to climate change The transition of the flowing mixture between any two phases occurs spatially and temporally during the whole rainfall process
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