Abstract
Several problems converged in 2015 to generate uncertainty about the future of Correa’s “Citizen’s Revolution”. The drop in oil prices severely hit the Ecuadorian economy based on the exportation of raw materials and dependent on public spending. Public dissatisfaction was channeled through massive protests against the legislative reforms proposed by the governing forces. Moreover, Correa’s sudden decline in the popularity, in addition to his decision to abstain from seeking reelection in 2017, have created a difficult scenario for correismo. The fortune of the governing forces in the forthcoming elections will depend on how they resolve these tensions during 2016.
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