Abstract

The implementation of marine ecosystem management requires modeling that accounts for the trade-off between exploitation in fisheries and protection activities (e.g., enhancement and release, artificial reefs). Researchers are increasingly interested in the trends of fishery resources under these joint driving forces due to the negative impacts of resource exploitation and the positive impacts of marine protection. Using the sea around Juehua Island in China’s Bohai Sea as a case study, we developed a marine ecosystem model based on the Ecopath with Ecosim software to analyze the trends in fishery resources driven both by fishing and stock enhancement. When the fishing effort exceeded 42 % of the 2019 value, the biomass of top predator Platycephalus indicus decreased by 50 %, indicating a regime shift. When the fishing effort increased to 340 % of the 2019 level, the ecosystem shifts to an alternative stable state occurs, indicating destabilization of the marine ecosystem. The impact of fishing effort on the marine ecosystem was not well compensated by release of a single target species. We also designed an orthogonal experiment with three factors (the key species Fenneropenaeus chinensis, Paralichthys olivaceus, and Charybdis japonica) and four restocking release levels to determine both the optimal release rate for each species individually and the optimal combination of different species. If the 2019 fishing effort is maintained, the release of 125 × 106 juvenile F. chinensis, 400 × 103 juvenile P. olivaceus, and 15 × 106 juvenile C. japonica would be an optimal solution to improve the marine biomass, trophic level, and biodiversity. Our results provide insights into ecosystem-based management strategies for implementing a policy to limit fishing in the study area and for scientifically determining the restocking release rates.

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