Abstract
Absolute decoupling of GDP growth from resource use implies that economic output can be increased without simultaneously increasing input. The essential meaning of this proposition is that the economic values that represent the GDP can be realized by increasing resource efficiency. Given that the GDP is first and foremost a measure of economic activity rather than welfare the possibility of absolute decoupling is theoretically limited. This paper demonstrates theoretically and empirically that economic values at the macroeconomic level are fundamentally determined by the use of production factors, primarily labor and physical capital. Technical innovations or efficiency gains increasing utility without raising the costs of production do not add to the GDP unless they stimulate investments in physical capital. Hence the neoclassical notion of productivity is only found to be relevant as a microeconomic concept. In practice, GDP growth is mostly explained by capital accumulation and a key question is whether or not capital accumulation can be decoupled from the use of materials and energy. This will determine the possibility of decoupling of GDP growth from resource use and environmental impact. Alternative measures of progress focusing on welfare rather than economic activity are more likely to achieve absolute decoupling.
Highlights
Environmental researchers and commentators are increasingly concerned that growing levels of production and consumption push global ecosystems towards critical limits [1,2]
The aim of this paper is to demonstrate, theoretically and empirically, that gross domestic product (GDP) growth is well explained by inputs of labor and physical capital which is consistent with classical economic theory
If the labor theory of value is valid for the macro economy, this will put a theoretical restriction on the possibility of decoupling of economic growth from resource use
Summary
Environmental researchers and commentators are increasingly concerned that growing levels of production and consumption push global ecosystems towards critical limits [1,2]. Vivid discussions about limits to economic growth have been ongoing at least since the early 1970s [3,4,5]. Economic growth is a fundamental policy objective in most modern societies. In 2015, world leaders adopted 17 Sustainable Development Goals suggested by the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP), including Goal 8: Decent work and economic growth [6]. In this context, sustainable economic growth means stimulating economic activity while not harming the environment. The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) among others has launched strategies for “green growth” [7]
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