Abstract
BackgroundThe basic objective of this study was to examine the relationship between the rice output, its production area, water availability, and agricultural gross domestic product (GDP) of Pakistan. Annual time series data for 1970–2015 were collected from the National Food Security and Research, Economic Survey of Pakistan, and Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (various publications).MethodsRice crop data were analyzed using the ordinary least square method and the augmented Dickey–Fuller test. Were interpreted using the Johansen cointegration test.ResultsOur study revealed the existence of a long-standing relationship between rice output, its production area, and water availability with the agricultural GDP of Pakistan. Regression results indicate that rice output and cultivated area have a significant and positive relationship with agricultural GDP, while water availability has a negative relationship.ConclusionsThe study suggests that the government of Pakistan should design new policies and funding schemes for developing and improving water availability.
Highlights
The basic objective of this study was to examine the relationship between the rice output, its production area, water availability, and agricultural gross domestic product (GDP) of Pakistan
Rice is the second major cash crop in Pakistan, which has a competitive advantage in production of aromatic basmati rice
The annual time series data pertaining to the agricultural gross domestic product (GDP), rice crop output, area under rice crop production, and water availability, from 1970 to 2015, were collected from the National Food Security and Research, Economic Survey of Pakistan, and Pakistan Bureau of Statistics
Summary
Our study revealed the existence of a long-standing relationship between rice output, its production area, and water availability with the agricultural GDP of Pakistan. Regression results indicate that rice output and cultivated area have a significant and positive relationship with agricultural GDP, while water availability has a negative relationship
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