Abstract
In this paper the Becker‐Friedan analysis of marriage behaviour is adapted for special Australian circumstances and estimated on Australian time‐series data, 1954‐74. It is found that in the post‐war period such factors as relative wages and unemployment, sex‐ratios, income growth and conscription do assist in understanding variations in marriages, and in particular assist in understanding the significant drop in marriages after 1972. The projections calculated for 1975–1984 imply the continuation of the long‐term decline in marriage rates experienced for women over 21, but suggest that the recent substantial falls in marriage rates for young women may be temporary.
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