Abstract

Aromatase inhibitor (ai) therapy has been subjected to numerous cost-effectiveness analyses. However, with most ais having reached the end of patent protection and with maturation of the clinical trials data, a re-analysis of ai cost-effectiveness and a consideration of ai use as part of sequential therapy is desirable. Our objective was to assess the cost-effectiveness of the 5-year upfront and sequential tamoxifen (tam) and ai hormonal strategies currently used for treating patients with estrogen receptor (er)-positive early breast cancer. The cost-effectiveness analysis used a Markov model that took a Canadian health system perspective with a lifetime time horizon. The base case involved 65-year-old women with er-positive early breast cancer. Probabilistic sensitivity analyses were used to incorporate parameter uncertainties. An expected-value-of-perfect-information test was performed to identify future research directions. Outcomes were quality-adjusted life-years (qalys) and costs. The sequential tam-ai strategy was less costly than the other strategies, but less effective than upfront ai and more effective than upfront tam. Upfront ai was more effective and less costly than upfront tam because of less breast cancer recurrence and differences in adverse events. In an exploratory analysis that included a sequential ai-tam strategy, ai-tam dominated based on small numerical differences unlikely to be clinically significant; that strategy was thus not used in the base-case analysis. In postmenopausal women with er-positive early breast cancer, strategies using ais appear to provide more benefit than strategies using tam alone. Among the ai-containing strategies, sequential strategies using tam and an ai appear to provide benefits similar to those provided by upfront ai, but at a lower cost.

Highlights

  • About 75% of all incident breast cancers occur in postmenopausal women, and approximately 80% of those breast cancers express the estrogen receptor[1]

  • In an exploratory analysis that included a sequential ai–tam strategy, ai–tam dominated based on small numerical differences unlikely to be clinically significant; that strategy was not used in the base-case analysis

  • Base-case results were based three strategies, with a calibrated sequential ai–tam strategy included in an exploratory analysis

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Summary

Introduction

About 75% of all incident breast cancers occur in postmenopausal women, and approximately 80% of those breast cancers express the estrogen receptor (that is, they are er-positive)[1]. Recurrence and death from er-positive breast cancer can be effectively reduced through estrogen suppression or antagonism. A number of large randomized controlled trials have shown that, in postmenopausal women with er-positive breast cancer, the use of aromatase inhibitors (ai) either upfront or after initial treatment with tamoxifen is associated with a statistically significant reduction in the risk of recurrence and, in some cases, an improvement in overall survival[3,4]. With most ais having reached the end of patent protection and with maturation of the clinical trials data, a re-analysis of ai cost-effectiveness and a consideration of ai use as part of sequential therapy is desirable. Our objective was to assess the costeffectiveness of the 5-year upfront and sequential tamoxifen (tam) and ai hormonal strategies currently used for treating patients with estrogen receptor (er)–positive early breast cancer

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