Abstract

This paper analyses carbon dioxide (CO 2) emissions from energy consumption using an input-output (I-O) model, for different sectors of the Indian economy in 1990. Alternative scenarios are developed for 2005. The I-O model considers structural changes in aggregate consumption behaviour and sectoral composition of output between 1990 and 2005. Alternative energy efficiency programmes are compared for their potential CO 2 reduction in 2005. Under ambitious poverty reduction targets, the annual growth rate of CO 2 emissions increases from 4.8% to 5.9%. However, energy efficiency programmes could reduce the average annual growth rate of CO 2 emissions back to 4.9%. It is also seen that reducing CO 2 through oil conservation is a preferred policy for India compared with saving coal.

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