Abstract

An empirical stochastic model for monthly bulk milk SCC was used to determine the impact of bulk milk SCC on the probability and cost of penalties under the milk quality program of Ontario, Canada. Under this program, milk price is reduced by $1 (Canadian)/hl each time bulk milk SCC exceeds 500,000 cells/ml three times in a 4-mo period. The model included herd average bulk milk SCC, effects of season, five autoregressive terms for bulk milk SCC in previous months, and a random variable with a standard deviation that depended on herd average SCC. Probabilities of receiving a penalty were 20, 13, 7, 4, 1.5, and 0.4%/mo for herd average bulk milk SCC of 450,000, 400,000, 350,000, 300,000, 250,000, and 200,000 cells/ml, respectively. Associated average penalty costs were $0.81, 0.47, 0.17, 0.04, 0.002, and 0.000/hl, respectively. Marginal return functions for reducing herd average linear somatic cell score were derived also. Marginal values were minimal for herd average linear scores <3. For the population, the marginal value of reducing average linear score by one unit from a mean of 3 was $19.60/yr per cow. Results indicated that efforts to reduce bulk milk SCC resulted in substantial extra milk revenues. A bulk milk SCC target of 250,000 cells/ml was advocated.

Highlights

  • Milk quality is an important aspect of dairy production

  • Given the distribution of RASCS, g(HASCS), average penalty costs (APC) per cow in the population were obtained by integrating average costs per herd /tHASCS) over the distribution of RASCS in the population

  • Based on results of this study, a target HABSCC of 250,000 cells/ml or lower could be advocated for the Ontario BSee penalty program; an HABSeC of 250,000 cells/mL resulted in a low probability of receiving a penalty (1.4%/mo; Figure 2) and in negligible average penalty deductions (Figure 3)

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Summary

Introduction

Milk quality is an important aspect of dairy production. Pehalty or premium programs have been instituted in several dairy industries to provide incen-Received June 19, 1995. Milk quality is an important aspect of dairy production. Pehalty or premium programs have been instituted in several dairy industries to provide incen-. Tives for producers to improve milk quality. Most incentive programs focus on several aspects of bulk milk quality, including presence of bacteria, inhibitors, and sec. Incentive programs for bulk milk sec (BSCC) typically operate through one or more thresholds that must be met in a monthly sample of bulk milk either to obtain a premium price for milk or to avoid price deductions. Magnitude of incentives and criteria imposed vary among regions

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