Economic analysis of osimertinib in previously untreated EGFR-mutant advanced non-small cell lung cancer in Canada

Abstract

IntroductionOsimertinib improves progression-free survival in previously untreated EGFR-positive advanced non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients, with marked intracranial response rates. However, its cost-effectiveness in a publically funded health care system has not been established. We assessed the cost-effectiveness of first-line osimertinib from the public payer perspective in the Canadian health care system. MethodsA Markov model was developed to project the outcomes and direct medical costs of initial treatment with osimertinib or current standard-of-care (SoC) EGFR TKIs, gefinitib or afatinib, in patients with previously untreated EGFR-mutant advanced NSCLC. Clinical and cost input estimates were informed from the available literature. Model outcomes included costs (in 2018 Canadian dollars), life years (LYs), quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), and the cost utility of osimertinib compared to SoC EGFR TKI, or incremental cost per QALY gained. ResultsInitial treatment with osimertinib was associated with a gain of 0.79 QALY [95% confidence interval (CI), 0.74 to 0.83] at an incremental cost of $176,394 CAD (95% CI, 176,383 to 176,405) vs. SoC EGFR TKI (incremental cost-effectiveness ratio [ICER]: $223,133/QALY gained; 95%CI, 198,144 to 252,805). Osimertinib had a 0% probability of being cost-effective at a willingness-to-pay threshold of $100,000 per QALY. Deterministic sensitivity analysis showed that the cost of osimertinib had the largest impact on ICER results. ConclusionAt the current marketed price, first-line osimertinib therapy in patients with advanced EGFR-mutant lung adenocarcinoma is not cost-effective in Canada. Reduction of osimertinib cost, for example by 25%, can significantly improve the cost-effectiveness profile.