Econometricians, your probabilities are close to their end. Economists, now look for a new world!

Abstract

The article examines several stochastic layers of epistemic reasoning at work in econometrics and in the current economic methods: (1) the argumentative level; (2) the reasoning based on the analogy with gambling; (3) the models based on analytical calculation of probabilities, where the phenomenon is held centered, its uncertainty being controlled by white noise as to its fluctuation; (4) the axiomatic calculus. Entanglement of these strata is observed. The article calls for reflexion on the topic. Doing so, it introduces the concept of stochastic cognitive artifacts.