Abstract
Environmental aspects are an essential part of economic development. Improvement of the environmental situation can have a significant impact on the pace and structure of economic development. For environmental component, it is important to analyze the current state and predict greenhouse gas emissions. The development of methodological approaches in this area will allow for more detailed forecasting of the situation. In order to reduce the emission of greenhouse gases, European countries have set targets for efficiency of energy consumption and widespread use of renewable energy sources, which they have achieved and become world leaders in using them. By 2020, the goal is set for energy consumption to be at least 20% from renewable sources. According to the forecast on average, in 2040 the share of oil products in the structure of fuel consumption in road transport in Europe will be reduced to 80%. Nevertheless, in the countries of Europe, various trends in the field of greenhouse gas emissions are expected. Most countries have a high potential for reducing greenhouse gas emissions from fuel combustion on road vehicles. In Russia, emissions from vehicles are projected to reduce by 8% by 2040.
Highlights
Analysis of the current situation and forecasting in the energy sector is a key component in the formation of long-term policies for sustainable development of the economy [1, 2]
In Germany, by 2020, the positive dynamics of the number of road vehicles will be replaced by a smooth decline, which is explained by the forecasted population decline
In Germany, by 2020, the positive dynamics of the number of road vehicles will be replaced by a smooth decline, which is due to the projected population decline
Summary
Analysis of the current situation and forecasting in the energy sector is a key component in the formation of long-term policies for sustainable development of the economy [1, 2]. An important aspect is the relationship between the economy and its major industries, energy and environment. By 2020, the goal is set for energy consumption to be at least 20% from renewable sources (Directive 2009/28/EC) and at least 27% by 2030 (2030 Energy Strategy). Forecast of energy consumption by vehicles in Europe and in Russia and its regions is needed to determine the long-term guidelines for the development of energy markets, development of transport infrastructure, petrochemical and related industries, ecology and environment
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