Abstract

The assessment of ecological environmental quality (EEQ) has provided an important knowledge base for protecting human health and realizing sustainable development. Previous studies have often used only principal component analysis (PCA) to perform the EEQ evaluation by determining the remote sensing based ecological index (RSEI) in a single year, and the assessment results are not comparable between years. Thus, a comparable and accurate method needs to be found and applied. In this paper, we applied the PCA combined with a random forest algorithm (a machine learning algorithm) to quantify the EEQ of Beijing, China, in 2014 and 2020 and analysed the relationship between the RSEI and four ecological indicators (greenness, wetness, dryness and heat). The results suggested that the RSEI and the ecological indicators of Beijing all changed substantially from 2014 to 2020, and the method of combining PCA and random forest was suitable for calculating the time-series data of RSEI in the study period. Specifically, the RSEI in Beijing increased slightly from 0.31 to 0.33 overall, the greenness of Beijing increased drastically (26.09%), the wetness decreased by 10.00%, and the dryness and heat increased by 8.62% and 2.00%, respectively. The Pearson correlation coefficient test showed that both the greenness and wetness had positive effects on the RSEI, while the dryness and heat had negative effects. Of the four ecological indicators in Beijing, the greenness contributed greatly as the main positive factor, and dryness was the most negative factor during the six years. This paper developed an improved framework for continuous EEQ monitoring, and these results provide a scientific basis for the sustainable development and ecological environmental monitoring of Beijing and other megacities.

Highlights

  • Anthropogenic activities and climate change are two important issues that affect urban ecosystems and have significant effects on the urban eco-environment and human health [1], [2]

  • From the principal component analysis (PCA) data obtained for the remote sensing based ecological index (RSEI) of the Landsat 8 image in 2020, it can be seen that PC1 had the largest covariance eigenvector among these four PCs, with a proportion of images close to 80%

  • Combined with the positive and negative signs of the variables discussed in the previous section, we found that normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) had the largest effect on the RSEI among all the positive indicators, as did the normalized difference built-up and soil index (NDBSI) among all the negative indicators, while WET and land surface temperature (LST) had weaker positive and negative effects on the RSEI, respectively

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Summary

Introduction

Anthropogenic activities and climate change are two important issues that affect urban ecosystems and have significant effects on the urban eco-environment and human health [1], [2]. Land use/cover change (LUCC) and landscape fragmentation are two major outcomes of human activities that significantly influence urban ecosystems [1]-[3]. The resultant changes in impervious surfaces contribute to environmental problems such as urban heat island and waterlogging [4]. Climate changes are mainly characterized by temperature and precipitation anomalies, which result in extreme temperature and precipitation occurring frequently, reducing the quality of the urban ecological environment [5]-[8]. Ecological disturbances caused by climate changes and intensified human activities exist in different megacities and must be effectively monitored and quantified

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