Abstract

Book value of equity consists of two main parts: retained earnings and contributed capital. Retained earnings-to-market subsumes book-to-market's predictive power in the cross section of stock returns, despite comprising only 42% of book value on average. Contributed capital has no predictive power. Retained earnings represent the difference between accumulated past earnings and accumulated past dividends. We find that the predictive power of retained earnings arises entirely from accumulated past earnings. Our results imply that book-to-market predicts returns because it is a proxy for earnings yield (Ball, 1978). These results cast doubt on the notion that book-to-market identities over- and undervalued securities.

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